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South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
FNB Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

South Africa
C-C
Zimbabwe

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between South Africa and Zimbabwe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.87%).

Result
South AfricaDrawZimbabwe
57.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.67% (-0.012 -0.01) 19.6% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)46.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.13% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.25% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)37.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 57.72%
    Zimbabwe 19.6%
    Draw 22.66%
South AfricaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 57.72%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 19.6%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 7pm
Second Round
South Africa
1-0
Zimbabwe
Mokoena (26')
Mashego (46'), Phete (59')

Nakamba (56')
Sep 3, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Zimbabwe
0-0
South Africa
Musona (54'), Bhasera (60'), Billiat (83')
Mobbie (63')
rhs 2.0
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