Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2022 at 4pm UK
Zimbabwe2 - 1Guinea
We said: Zimbabwe 0-1 Guinea
Zimbabwe will be under a lot of pressure as they know that anything less than a victory spells the end of their journey in Cameroon. Nonetheless, we fancy Guinea to narrowly edge this one in what should be a cagey affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 1-0 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Guinea |
| 33.94% | 30.02% | 36.04% |
| Both teams to score 42.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
