Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Eswatini0 - 1Cape Verde
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Cape Verde.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 7.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
Result | ||
Eswatini | Draw | Cape Verde |
7.35% ( 0.24) | 16.69% ( 0.6) | 75.96% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 35.91% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.79% ( -1.66) | 49.2% ( 1.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% ( -1.52) | 71.27% ( 1.52) |
Eswatini Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.45% ( -0.42) | 59.55% ( 0.42) |