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Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique de Radès
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Tunisia
4 - 0
Eq Guinea

Sliti (56'), Jaziri (77'), Msakni (80', 85')
Mejbri (32'), Yassine Khenissi (73'), Sassi (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Owono (45'), Lopez Elo (58')
Lopez Elo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

Last Six:
Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Equatorial Guinea

Last Six:
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Botswana
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tunisia 2-1 Equatorial Guinea

 Off the back of securing their place in Qatar, Tunisia will head into the game with sky-high confidence as they look to get their qualification campaign off to a flyer. While Equatorial Guinea have put together a fine run of form, we are backing the Carthage Eagles to ease to all three points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
42.63% (-0.061 -0.06) 24.63% (0.004999999999999 0) 32.75% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)67.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)21.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)53.83% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (0.044000000000004 0.04)61.36% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 42.63%
    Equatorial Guinea 32.75%
    Draw 24.62%
TunisiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.75%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Eq Guinea

Tunisia
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Equatorial Guinea
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2021 4pm
Eq Guinea
1-0
Tunisia
Ganet (84')
Siafa (35'), Coco (45+2'), Anieboh (46')

Sassi (29'), Kechrida (90+2')
Sep 3, 2021 8pm
Tunisia
3-0
Eq Guinea
Bronn (54'), Skhiri (78'), Khazri (82' pen.)
Bronn (5'), Sassi (69'), Mathlouthi (86')

Asumu Obama Ondo (4'), Alberto Meseguer Villanueva (32'), Buyla (90+2')
Jan 31, 2015 7.30pm
Tunisia
1-2
Eq Guinea
Akaichi (70')
Ragued (9'), Yacoubi (63'), Akaichi (66'), Chermiti (86')
Balboa (93' pen., 102')
Salvador (96')
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