Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 23, 2022 at 7pm UK

Nigeria
0 - 1
Tunisia

Iheanacho (20')
Iwobi (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Msakni (47')
Laidouni (53'), Skhiri (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nigeria have stamped their name as genuine title contenders following a near flawless run in the group stages. While going up against Tunisia can be a tricky task for any side, Nigeria possess the quality needed to come out victorious and we are backing them to do just that and continue their charge for the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Tunisia
59.59%	23.62%	16.79%

Both teams to score 44.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38%

54.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05%

75.95%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93%

18.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01%

48.98%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.15%

45.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.4%

81.6%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 59.58%

Tunisia 16.79%

Draw 23.62%

Nigeria	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 14.17% 2-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 5.39% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.15% Total : 59.58%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.79%