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Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 23, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Tunisia national football team

Nigeria
0 - 1
Tunisia


Iheanacho (20')
Iwobi (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Msakni (47')
Laidouni (53'), Skhiri (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nigeria 2-0 Tunisia

Nigeria have stamped their name as genuine title contenders following a near flawless run in the group stages. While going up against Tunisia can be a tricky task for any side, Nigeria possess the quality needed to come out victorious and we are backing them to do just that and continue their charge for the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawTunisia
59.59%23.62%16.79%
Both teams to score 44.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.38%54.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05%75.95%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01%48.98%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.15%45.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.4%81.6%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 59.58%
    Tunisia 16.79%
    Draw 23.62%
NigeriaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 14.17%
2-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 5.39%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Tunisia

Nigeria
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Tunisia
16.1%
56
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2020 7.30pm
Friendlies 1
Nigeria
1-1
Tunisia
Iheanacho (21')
Iwobi (55'), Iheanacho (78')
Drager (44')
Rafia (10'), Bronn (12'), Ben Mustapha (28'), Meriah (55'), Khazri (76'), (84')
Jul 17, 2019 8pm
Third Place Playoff
Tunisia
0-1
Nigeria
rhs 2.0
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