Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Uganda0 - 1Tanzania
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Uganda and Tanzania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uganda 1-3 Ivory Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Uganda | Draw | Tanzania |
45.88% ( -0.32) | 28.47% ( 0.01) | 25.66% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 42.81% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.33% ( 0.14) | 62.67% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.78% ( 0.11) | 82.23% ( -0.1) |
Uganda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( -0.09) | 27.4% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( -0.12) | 62.88% ( 0.13) |
Tanzania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.96% ( 0.36) | 41.04% ( -0.36) |