Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Radès

Algeria
2 - 0
Uganda

Mandi (28'), Belaili (80')
Bensebaini (25'), Ghezzal (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aucho (23'), Mugabi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Algeria
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Algeria vs. Niger
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Uganda

Last Six:

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Despite their 2022 AFCON and World Cup qualification heartbreak, Algeria head into the weekend as one of the strongest sides on the continent. The Greens are unbeaten in nine of their last 10 home outings and we predict they will keep this fine run going and claim all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Algeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Uganda
58.95% ( -0.03)	24.26% ( 0.01)	16.79% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.68% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.1% (

-0.02)

56.89% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

-0.02)

77.81% (

0.02)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

-0.02)

19.16% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.17% (

-0.03)

50.82% (

0.03)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.79% (

0.01)

47.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36% (

0.01)

82.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Algeria 58.94%

Uganda 16.79%

Draw 24.25%

Algeria	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 14.94% 2-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 58.94%	1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.79%