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Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Semi-Finals
Feb 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Senegal national football team

Burkina Faso
1 - 3
Senegal

Toure (82')
Guira (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diallo (70'), Gueye (76'), Mane (87')
Sarr (50'), Abou Cisse (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burkina Faso 0-2 Senegal

Burkina Faso are the dark horses of the tournament and will be looking to continue their fairytale journey in search of their first AFCON title. However, standing in their way is a star-studded Senegal side who appear simply unstoppable at the moment. Taking into consideration the difference in quality between the two sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with the Lions of Teranga coming away with the win to make it to the final hurdle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.96%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
22.02%30.53%47.45%
Both teams to score 35.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.62%70.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.52%87.48%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.8%49.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.91%84.09%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58%30.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38%66.61%
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 22.02%
    Senegal 47.43%
    Draw 30.52%
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 4.48%
2-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 22.02%
0-0 @ 14.96%
1-1 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 30.52%
0-1 @ 17.8%
0-2 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-3 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-4 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 47.43%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Senegal

Burkina Faso
16.5%
Draw
16.5%
Senegal
67.1%
231
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