World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 1pm UK
Mozambique1 - 0Malawi
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mozambique in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Malawi |
| 41.49% | 27.69% | 30.82% |
| Both teams to score 47.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
