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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium
Namibia national football team

South Africa
4 - 0
Namibia

Tau (14' pen.), Zwane (25', 40'), Maseko (75')
Sithole (55')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between South Africa and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Namibia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: South Africa 1-1 Namibia

 The pressure is on South Africa to get a win here, especially with a difficult final group match against Tunisia likely to determine their fate. Namibia were deserved winners in their first match, and while they would relish the opportunity to beat their neighbours, they would likely settle for a draw here, which would put them in a very strong position to reach the last 16. It should be an intense match between two sides that know each other very well, and we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawNamibia
55.57% (0.245 0.24) 26.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 18.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
Both teams to score 39.49% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.65% (-0.202 -0.2)62.35% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18% (-0.149 -0.15)81.99% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)22.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.39% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.1% (-0.408 -0.41)48.89% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.12% (-0.292 -0.29)83.88% (0.28999999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 55.56%
    Namibia 18.02%
    Draw 26.41%
South AfricaDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 16.46% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 55.56%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.11% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: South Africa vs Namibia

South Africa
48.6%
Draw
31.4%
Namibia
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
0-0
Namibia
Kamatuka (89')
Jul 5, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
1-1
Namibia
Human (48')
Kambindu (43')
Papama (45')
Oct 8, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 1
South Africa
1-1
Namibia
Singh (18')
Mvala (11')
Iimbondi (55')
Fredericks (57'), Handura (82')
Jun 28, 2019 9pm
Group Stage
South Africa
1-0
Namibia
Zungu (68')
Zwane (79')

Starke (46'), Horaeb (71'), Hotto (87')
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