Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 21, 2024 at 8pm UK

Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium

South Africa
4 - 0
Namibia

Tau (14' pen.), Zwane (25', 40'), Maseko (75')
Sithole (55')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between South Africa and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	2	2	4
2	Namibia	1	1	3
3	Tunisia	2	-1	1
4	South Africa	1	-2	0

Namibia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	2	2	4
2	Namibia	1	1	3
3	Tunisia	2	-1	1
4	South Africa	1	-2	0

We said: South Africa 1-1 Namibia

The pressure is on South Africa to get a win here, especially with a difficult final group match against Tunisia likely to determine their fate. Namibia were deserved winners in their first match, and while they would relish the opportunity to beat their neighbours, they would likely settle for a draw here, which would put them in a very strong position to reach the last 16. It should be an intense match between two sides that know each other very well, and we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Namibia
55.57% ( 0.24)	26.41% ( -0.02)	18.02% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 39.49% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.65% (

-0.2)

62.35% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18% (

-0.15)

81.99% (

0.15)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.02)

22.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

0.03)

56.39% (

-0.03)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.1% (

-0.41)

48.89% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.12% (

-0.29)

83.88% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

South Africa 55.56%

Namibia 18.02%

Draw 26.41%

South Africa	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 16.46% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 55.56%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.02%