MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 05:33:25| >> :600:3718808:3718808:
Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Konkola Stadium
Tanzania national football team

Zambia
1 - 1
Tanzania

Daka (88')
Kabwe (33'), Grant (45+2'), Banda (45+1')
Kabwe (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Msuva (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zambia and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Zambia 1-0 Tanzania

While Zambia were far from impressive in attack in their first match, their defensive solidity was commendable, and they will likely prioritise keeping a clean sheet in this match against a Tanzania attack that lacks genuine firepower. This has the feel of a low-scoring, tactical match, and we feel that the first goal will likely end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawTanzania
64% (0.122 0.12) 21.41% (-0.073 -0.07) 14.59% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.99% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.202 0.2)49.81% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.181 0.18)71.81% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.10600000000001 0.11)14.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.199 0.2)43.26% (-0.196 -0.2)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.04% (0.055 0.05)45.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)81.68% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 63.98%
    Tanzania 14.59%
    Draw 21.4%
ZambiaDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.88% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 63.98%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02%
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.59%

How you voted: Zambia vs Tanzania

Zambia
72.5%
Draw
17.6%
Tanzania
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2021 4pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-0
Tanzania
Sikombe (64' pen.), Chabula (81')
G (33'), Kampamba (38')

Kapombe (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!