MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 23:29:40| >> :600:10090583:10090583:
Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
Tanzania national football team

Morocco
3 - 0
Tanzania

Saiss (30'), Ounahi (77'), En-Nesyri (80')
Saiss (52'), Chibi (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mao (22'), Dismas (32'), M'Mombwa (61'), Hussein (90+6')
Dismas (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 3-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Morocco 2-0 Tanzania

Morocco have been in mixed form since their incredible World Cup campaign but did begin re-finding their rhythm in the lead-up to this competition with three consecutive wins while remaining unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions. They beat this opponent fairly convincingly just less than two months ago, and we fancy them to do likewise in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.45%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawTanzania
65.23% (1.267 1.27) 23.01% (-0.497 -0.5) 11.76% (-0.767 -0.77)
Both teams to score 34.99% (-0.742 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.28% (0.213 0.21)60.73% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.21% (0.159 0.16)80.79% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.54299999999999 0.54)18.29% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (0.913 0.91)49.36% (-0.91 -0.91)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.83% (-1.2 -1.2)57.18% (1.206 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.86% (-0.683 -0.68)89.14% (0.687 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 65.23%
    Tanzania 11.76%
    Draw 23.01%
MoroccoDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 17.76% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 15.09% (0.4 0.4)
3-0 @ 8.55% (0.368 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.63% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 65.23%
0-0 @ 10.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 11.76%

How you voted: Morocco vs Tanzania

Morocco
84.5%
Draw
8.5%
Tanzania
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Tanzania
0-2
Morocco

Mao (18'), Dismas (36'), Mwaikenda (74')
Dismas (65')
Ziyech (28'), Mwaikenda (53' og.)
Mazraoui (13'), Hakimi (52'), Amrabat (65'), Ziyech (74')
rhs 2.0
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