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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Elche

Alaves
1 - 0
Elche

N'Diaye (47')
Navarro (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roco (42')

Preview: Alaves vs. Elche - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alaves will be looking to make it back-to-back victories in La Liga when they welcome Elche to Estadio de Mendizorroza on Tuesday night.

The home side will enter the contest off the back of a 2-0 victory over Cadiz on Saturday, while Elche played out a 2-2 draw with Espanyol in their last match in Spain's top flight.


Match preview

Alaves coach Javier Calleja reacts on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Alaves have won two and lost seven of their nine league matches this season to collect six points, which has left them in 18th position in the table, but they will enter Tuesday night's fixture off the back of a positive result.

Indeed, a brace from Joselu saw the Basque outfit record a two-goal win over Cadiz on Saturday, while they also beat the champions Atletico Madrid 1-0 at the end of September.

El Glorioso are actually in their sixth straight season at this level of football, but they have ended the last two campaigns in 16th position, and it appears that the team will face a battle to avoid relegation this term.

Javier Calleja's side will be wary of suffering a disappointing result in this match considering that two of their next four opponents in the league are Barcelona and Sevilla.

Alaves recorded a 2-0 victory over Elche when the two teams last locked horns in May, but they suffered a 2-0 loss in the corresponding clash between the sides last term.

Elche's Gonzalo Verdu in action with Atletico Madrid's Thomas Lemar on August 22, 2021© Reuters

Elche, meanwhile, played out a 2-2 draw with Espanyol on Saturday, with Dario Benedetto coming off the bench to secure a share of the spoils for the home team at Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero.

A record of two wins, four draws and four defeats from 10 matches has seen Los Franjiverdes collect 10 points, which has left them in 14th position in the table.

Elche only just survived an immediate relegation back to the Segunda Division last season, with a total of 36 points from 38 matches seeing them finish 17th, just two points above the bottom three.

Fran Escriba's team will be looking to beat the teams around them this season as they bid to stay in the top tier, and there is no downplaying the importance of Tuesday's contest, particularly considering that their next game after this one is at home to title hopefuls Real Madrid.

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Elche La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Manchester United's Facundo Pellistri in action for Alaves in March 2021© Reuters

Alaves have no confirmed absentees for Tuesday night's contest, meaning that Calleja has plenty of decisions to make when it comes to team selection.

Pere Pons impressed off the bench against Cadiz and could now come into the starting side, potentially taking the place of Manu Garcia, which was the alteration that occurred on Saturday.

It could otherwise be the same team that took to the field for the first whistle against Cadiz, though, with on-loan Manchester United attacker Facundo Pellistri set to feature on the right once again.

Elche's squad is also in excellent shape, and the visitors could also have a full set of players to choose from providing that there are no setbacks in training ahead of the game.

Benedetto came off the bench to score an equaliser against Espanyol on Saturday, and the Argentine could replace Lucas Perez in the final third of the field.

Pere Milla and Tete Morente are also pushing to be involved from the start, but head coach Escriba is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack despite the relatively quick turnaround.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Miazga, Laguardia, Duarte; Loum, Moya; Pellistri, Pons, Rioja; Joselu

Elche possible starting lineup:
Casilla; Barragan, Verdu, Bigas, Mojica; Fidel, Guti, Mascarell, Pastore; Boye, Benedetto


SM words green background

We say: Alaves 1-1 Elche

This is a very difficult match to call, and it would not be a surprise to see a home or an away victory on Tuesday night. There is not an awful lot between the two sides in terms of quality, though, and we are expecting a tight contest, so have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio de Mendizorroza.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:468239:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8628:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Alaves vs Elche

Alaves
56.4%
Draw
30.7%
Elche
12.9%
140
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5Villarreal188643430430
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7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
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12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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