Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Elche |
43.87% | 27.33% | 28.8% |
Both teams to score 47.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.68% | 57.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.85% | 78.15% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% | 25.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.05% | 60.95% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% | 35.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% | 72.19% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |