Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.