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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Florencio Solá

Banfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Gimenez (3', 73')
Insua (43'), Aleman (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ortiz (17'), Mac Allister (41'), Martinez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Banfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Banfield
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Defensa
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Banfield 1-3 Rosario Central

Eventually, the impact of Falcioni could pay dividends for Banfield, but Rosario have too many weapons that are in fine form at the moment and should find a way through their opponents' defensive setup in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.

Result
BanfieldDrawRosario Central
45.18% (0.07 0.07) 29.13% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 25.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.2% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.31% (0.13 0.13)64.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33% (0.091999999999999 0.09)83.67% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Banfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.101 0.1)28.75% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.126 0.13)64.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83% (0.055 0.05)42.17% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)78.58% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Banfield 45.18%
    Rosario Central 25.68%
    Draw 29.12%
BanfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 25.68%

How you voted: Banfield vs Rosario

Banfield
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Rosario Central
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 15
Rosario
0-1
Banfield

Baez (63'), Tanlongo (68'), Infantino (77'), Servio (85')
Urzi (22')
Romero (30')
Romero (90+5')
Sep 15, 2021 10.45pm
Second Phase
Banfield
1-2
Rosario
Manuel Cruz (9')
Coronel (24'), Galoppo (31'), Enrique (81')
Galoppo (72')
Ruben (38', 88')
Ojeda (18'), Vecchio (34'), Marinelli (86')
Vecchio (62')
Apr 11, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Rosario
3-1
Banfield
Ruben (45+3'), Gamba (51'), Laso (70')
Sangiovani (4'), Laso (39')
Eseiza (9')
Dec 5, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Banfield
1-1
Rosario
Alvarez (22')
Arboleda (28'), Bravo (65'), (75')
Bravo (78')
Vecchio (29' pen.)
Villagra (48'), Rinaudo (73'), Vecchio (81')
Nov 13, 2020 10pm
Group Stage
Rosario
2-4
Banfield
Vecchio (24'), Rinaudo (90+3')
Rinaudo (52')
Fontana (27'), Bordagaray (44'), Galoppo (65'), Cuero (78')
Galoppo (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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