Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
May 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Rosario2 - 1Defensa
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.34%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
44.35% ( 0.23) | 30.03% ( 0.17) | 25.62% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 39.09% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
