Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 26, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Belgrano0 - 1Gimnasia
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Gimnasia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Athletico PR
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belgrano | Draw | Gimnasia |
42.74% ( 0.31) | 28.55% ( 0.06) | 28.71% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 44.43% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.42% ( -0.34) | 61.57% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.58% ( -0.25) | 81.42% ( 0.25) |
Belgrano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% ( 0) | 28.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% ( 0.01) | 64.34% ( -0.01) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( -0.48) | 37.81% ( 0.48) |