Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 1Belgrano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Belgrano
Athletico-PR have been inconsistent at home in recent weeks and throughout this competition, while Belgrano remain unbeaten away from home in the current Sudamericana campaign, which is why we predict a positive result for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Belgrano |
62.29% ( 0.05) | 22.65% ( -0.01) | 15.07% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
