MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 13:06:23| >> :600:6880323:6880323:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 30, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
River Plate

Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-3 River Plate

 Goals should be on the menu between two Argentinian outfits who always know how to find the back of the net, although the River Plate defence is far more steadfast than Velez's. Keeping a red-hot Alvarez at bay for 90 minutes will be a struggle for the hosts in the absence of their two most inspirational centre-backs, and we can only envisage Gallardo's side claiming a healthy first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
29.48% (-0.247 -0.25) 25.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 45.15% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-0.213 -0.21)49.28% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-0.193 -0.19)71.33% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.283 -0.28)30.7% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.337 -0.34)66.96% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.03% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 29.48%
    River Plate 45.14%
    Draw 25.36%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.14%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Velez Sarsfield
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
River Plate
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
Feb 4, 2019 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
River Plate
Barreal (91')
Laso (66'), Galdames (72')
Gimenez (84')
Borre (49'), Quintero (86' pen.)
Palacios (62'), Suarez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal25158251222953
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
4Manchester CityMan City25135752351744
5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!