Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Rosario Central

Velez have stumbled into the new season, picking up one point from the first nine to already sit in the lower echelons of the table. Rosario Central dug deep to secure all three points last time out and we predict they will build on that result and come out victorious on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Rosario Central
54.74% ( -0.28)	24.05% ( 0.16)	21.21% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

-0.5)

50.55% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

-0.45)

72.47% (

0.45)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.29)

18.36% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.5)

49.47% (

0.49)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.17)

38.41% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

-0.16)

75.16% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 54.73%

Rosario Central 21.21%

Draw 24.04%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Rosario Central
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.73%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.21%