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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Rosario Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Rosario Central

 Velez have stumbled into the new season, picking up one point from the first nine to already sit in the lower echelons of the table. Rosario Central dug deep to secure all three points last time out and we predict they will build on that result and come out victorious on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
54.74% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.05% (0.156 0.16) 21.21% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.504 -0.5)50.55% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.447 -0.45)72.47% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)18.36% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.497 -0.5)49.47% (0.493 0.49)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.169 -0.17)38.41% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.161 -0.16)75.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 54.73%
    Rosario Central 21.21%
    Draw 24.04%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
Rosario
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Novaretti (36'), Rinaudo (56')
Fernandez (81')
Fernandez (87')
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Robertone (69'), Almada (81')
Cufre (45')

Jose Gomez (2'), Arismendi (34'), Herrera (63'), Ortiz (90')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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