Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 22, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa0 - 1Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barracas Central 3-1 Defensa
Thursday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Rosario
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
33.47% ( 1.81) | 28.4% ( 0.98) | 38.13% ( -2.79) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
