Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento1 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, July 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Sarmiento 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Despite sitting well inside the bottom half of the table, these two teams have performed admirably in defence this campaign. Combined with a less-than-impressive record in the final third, it makes a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
37.14% ( -0.1) | 28.03% ( 0.04) | 34.83% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
