Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia1 - 3Boca Juniors
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Huracan
Monday, July 10 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 10 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Gimnasia 1-1 Boca Juniors
As Boca have not fared well on the road - winning just three away games in the league this year - Gimnasia can make their defensive solidity at El Bosque pay this weekend. The hosts have conceded just eight times in 11 home matches, so a share of the spoils could be on the cards for Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
35.82% ( 0.54) | 31.87% ( 0.04) | 32.32% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 37.41% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29.45% ( -0.14) | 70.55% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.42% ( -0.09) | 87.58% ( 0.09) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.44% ( 0.3) | 37.55% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.66% ( 0.29) | 74.34% ( -0.29) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% ( -0.51) | 40.09% ( 0.52) |