Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia1 - 2Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 2-0 Gimnasia
Saturday, August 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 34.92%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (13.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
34.36% ( 0.02) | 30.72% | 34.92% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.29% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.72% ( -0) | 67.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.55% ( 0) | 85.45% ( -0) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( 0.02) | 36.72% ( -0.02) |