Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Huracan.