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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield


Tonetto (28'), Palacios (36'), Dionisio (50'), Reali (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pizzini (41')
Aquino (36'), Romero (36'), Marchiori (45+3'), Vecino (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawVelez Sarsfield
32.26% (0.0020000000000024 0) 30.34% (0.032 0.03) 37.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.04% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.7% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.3% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.21% (-0.057 -0.06)84.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)37.69% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.47% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)34.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)70.82% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 32.26%
    Velez Sarsfield 37.4%
    Draw 30.33%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.33%
0-1 @ 13.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.4%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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