MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:36:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Patronato

Sarmiento
3 - 1
Patronato

Quinteros (27'), Lozano (52' og.), Toledo (90')
Guanini (45+4'), Mendez (54'), Quinteros (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (42')
Quintana (30'), Mosevich (30'), Cobos (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Patronato

Last Six:
Last Game: Patronato 1-0 Aldosivi
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Sarmiento 1-2 Patronato

 Both sides have not exactly hit the ground running in the new campaign, managing one win from their three games respectively. However, buoyed by Tuesday's victory, Patronato should head into the weekend with renewed confidence and we are backing them to come away with all three points against the floundering hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawPatronato
44.72% (0.177 0.18) 27.88% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.46% (0.198 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (0.276 0.28)59.9% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83% (0.21 0.21)80.16% (-0.211 -0.21)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (0.221 0.22)26.7% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (0.291 0.29)61.96% (-0.292 -0.29)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)37.97% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08)74.74% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 44.71%
    Patronato 27.39%
    Draw 27.87%
SarmientoDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 44.71%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Sarmiento vs Patronato

Sarmiento
41.7%
Draw
8.3%
Patronato
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 10.15pm
Patronato
0-1
Sarmiento

Medina (35'), Mosevich (37')
Torres (15')
Toledo (45+4')
Jul 25, 2021 5.30pm
Patronato
2-0
Sarmiento
Sosa (28'), Nievas (90+6')
Delgadillo (31'), Nievas (69'), Nahuel Banega (81'), Benitez (82')

Salvareschi (39'), Bravo (79')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Patronato
1-0
Sarmiento
Garay (71')
Nievas (26'), Garcia (65'), Urribarri (82'), Arias (86'), Guasone (89')

Salvareschi (68')
Salvareschi (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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