Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 25, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella
Patronato2 - 0Sarmiento
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salvareschi (39'), Bravo (79')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 46.03% | 28.45% | 25.52% |
| Both teams to score 42.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
