Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Sep 19, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union0 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Union
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Independiente
Monday, September 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, September 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union | Draw | Independiente |
40.04% ( 0.55) | 28.35% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.99% ( -0.03) | 60% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.76% ( -0.02) | 80.24% ( 0.03) |
Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( 0.3) | 29.3% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% ( 0.36) | 65.26% ( -0.36) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% ( -0.39) | 34.74% ( 0.39) |