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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Sep 19, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Independiente

Union
0 - 1
Independiente


Polenta (68'), Canete (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romero (47')
Benegas (17'), Elizalde (82')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Union
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Independiente
Monday, September 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawIndependiente
40.04% (0.545 0.55) 28.35% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 31.61% (-0.519 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.14% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.99% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)60% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)80.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (0.3 0.3)29.3% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (0.36499999999999 0.36)65.26% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.389 -0.39)34.74% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.416 -0.42)71.47% (0.42 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Union 40.04%
    Independiente 31.61%
    Draw 28.34%
UnionDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: Union vs Independiente

Union
42.9%
Draw
57.1%
Independiente
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 1.15am
Independiente
1-0
Union
Martinez (73')
Pozzo (58'), Romero (74')
Blanco (80')

Roldan (74'), Britez (77')
Oct 30, 2019 10.10pm
Union
2-2
Independiente
Bou (89' pen.), Mazzola (95')
Acevedo (32'), Gomez (43'), Martinez (45'), Bou (74'), Mazzola (93')
Romero (25', 44')
Bustos (31'), Perez (39'), Benitez (51'), Silva (88')
Bustos (34')
Feb 9, 2019 10.20pm
Independiente
2-1
Union
Gomez (42' og.), Gaibor (75' pen.)
Bustos (20'), Franco (24'), Hernandez (91')
Pitton (18')
Martinez (32'), Acevedo (70'), Bottinelli (84'), Troyansky (89')
rhs 2.0
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