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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Godoy Cruz

Gianetti (56')
Osorio (19'), Castro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galdames (74')
Cingolani (32'), Arce (41'), Abrego (75'), Galdames (76'), Meli (90+2'), Rasmussen (90')
Salvareschi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Godoy Cruz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Platense
Wednesday, July 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Godoy Cruz

While the visitors are unbeaten in their last four matches, the three wins they managed in that time all came on their home patch, and the one away game they played ended in a draw. They have been the better side this season to date, but the hosts' confidence is at an all-time high, which we feel levels the playing field and could result in them cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawGodoy Cruz
45.62% (0.121 0.12) 28.64% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 25.73% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.41% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.81% (0.197 0.2)63.19% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.39% (0.144 0.14)82.6% (-0.145 -0.14)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.158 0.16)27.79% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.204 0.2)63.37% (-0.206 -0.21)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.067 0.07)41.26% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.059999999999999 0.06)77.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 45.62%
    Godoy Cruz 25.72%
    Draw 28.63%
Velez SarsfieldDrawGodoy Cruz
1-0 @ 14.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 25.72%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Godoy Cruz

Velez Sarsfield
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Godoy Cruz
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 12am
Apr 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Godoy Cruz
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Lopez (28'), Acevedo (58'), Ferrari (77'), Bullaude (89'), Gonzalez (89')
Brizuela (31'), Garayalde (51'), Diaz (89')
Aug 29, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
3-0
Godoy Cruz
Mancuello (45'), Breitenbruch (81' og.), Bouzat (82')
Ortega (75')

Abrego (63')
Jan 9, 2021 10.20pm
Fase Complementacion
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Godoy Cruz
Martin Lucero (13'), Pizarro (45+3' og.), A (64')
Tarragona (68')
Ojeda (16'), Gonzalez (62' pen.)
Alvarez (57'), Henriquez (71')
Martin Cantero (67')
Mar 4, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 20
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Godoy Cruz

Robertone (74')
Brunetta (7' pen.)
Ortiz (28'), Almeida (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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