River Plate2 - 1Lanus
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Sunday, June 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
We said: River Plate 3-1 Lanus
Although the two sides are currently level on points, we believe River Plate will have the upper hand over their opponents after winning the last three meetings against Lanus, and we think they will continue that impressive record by clinching all three points on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Lanus |
62.59% ( 0.09) | 19.59% ( -0.01) | 17.81% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.43% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.34% ( -0.1) | 35.66% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.28% ( -0.11) | 57.72% ( 0.11) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.07% ( -0.01) | 10.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.88% ( -0.02) | 35.12% ( 0.02) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.72% ( -0.15) | 33.28% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.1% ( -0.16) | 69.9% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Lanus |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 62.59% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 17.81% |
How you voted: River Plate vs Lanus
Aude (12'), Gonzalez (29'), Bernabei (78')
Garcia (57')
Lollo (34'), Moreira (75'), Sosa (83')