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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 15, 2025 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Sarmiento

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Sarmiento


Mauricio Carrizo (36'), Bouzat (41'), Machuca (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Frias (71')
Vallejos (7'), Manuel Insaurralde (45'), Suhr (58'), Frias (72'), Morales (80'), Garcia (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.82%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawSarmiento
56.33% (2.533 2.53) 27.19% (0.348 0.35) 16.48% (-2.877 -2.88)
Both teams to score 35.5% (-4.856 -4.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.79% (-3.906 -3.91)66.21% (3.908 3.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.27% (-2.768 -2.77)84.73% (2.77 2.77)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.613 -0.61)24.09% (0.616 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-0.884 -0.88)58.38% (0.886 0.89)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.77% (-5.972 -5.97)53.23% (5.975 5.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.2% (-4.113 -4.11)86.8% (4.116 4.12)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 56.32%
    Sarmiento 16.48%
    Draw 27.17%
Velez SarsfieldDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 18.25% (2.18 2.18)
2-0 @ 12.99% (1.34 1.34)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.542 -0.54)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.535 0.54)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.332 -0.33)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 56.32%
0-0 @ 12.82% (1.73 1.73)
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-2 @ 2.58% (-0.691 -0.69)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 3.63% (-0.888 -0.89)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.567 -0.57)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 16.48%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 25
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Sarmiento
Aquino (41' pen.)
Mammana (45+2'), Bouzat (73')

Lopez (5'), Guiacobini (54'), Gho (59'), Garcia (68'), Lopez (81')
Jul 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 25
Sarmiento
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Monaco (90+10' pen.)
Bettini (21')
Jara (90+12')
Burian (90+8'), Garcia (90+4'), Gomez (90+13')
Aug 23, 2022 1.30am
Sep 24, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Nunez (8'), Chicco (90+3')
Feb 21, 2021 8.10pm
First Phase
Sarmiento
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Torres (90+5')
Janson (12'), Almada (63')
Galdames (70')
rhs 2.0
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