Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 31, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Thumama Stadium
Bahrain1 - 3Japan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jordan 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
We said: Bahrain 1-4 Japan
Japan may not have been as convincing as we had expected in the opening phase of this tournament, but they know how to turn it on in these big games, and we expect them to be sharper in the attack, knowing it is a must-win game. Bahrain have held their own throughout this tournament, but their lack of experience in these big matches will make it difficult for them to stay with a side who possess numerous attacking options. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
35.29% ( -0.72) | 26.28% ( -0.15) | 38.43% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.59) | 51.46% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( 0.52) | 73.27% ( -0.52) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.15) | 27.97% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.39% ( -0.18) | 63.61% ( 0.18) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( 0.77) | 26.15% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.77% ( 1.02) | 61.23% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahrain 35.29%
Japan 38.43%
Draw 26.28%
| Bahrain | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.43% |
How you voted: 1st Group E vs 2nd Group D
1st Group E
27.6%Draw
10.3%2nd Group D
62.1%58
