![Japan national football team Japan national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/japlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Thumama Stadium
![Indonesia national football team Indonesia national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/indlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Japan3 - 1Indonesia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iraq 2-1 Japan
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Friday, January 19 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iraq | 2 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Japan | 2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Indonesia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Vietnam | 2 | -3 | 0 |
We said: Japan 3-0 Indonesia
As well as Indonesia have played to this point of the competition, they are facing a Japanese side in a foul mood after being frustrated by Iraq, and we expect the Samurai Blue to take out those frustrations on Tim Garuda and win this contest in convincing fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result | ||
Japan | Draw | Indonesia |
59.44% (![]() | 21.22% (![]() | 19.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% (![]() | 40.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% (![]() | 63.2% (![]() |
Japan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% (![]() | 13.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.68% (![]() | 40.31% (![]() |
Indonesia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% (![]() | 34.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% (![]() | 71.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Japan 59.44%
Indonesia 19.34%
Draw 21.22%
Japan | Draw | Indonesia |
2-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.34% |
How you voted: Japan vs Indonesia
Japan
59.7%Draw
6.0%Indonesia
34.3%67
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 01:31:22
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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3
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4
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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