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Asian Cup
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium
Iran national football team

Hong Kong
0 - 1
Iran


Ming Wu (37'), Nunez (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ghaedi (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Hong Kong and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Iran 4-1 Palestine
Sunday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Hong Kong 1-5 Iran

 Hong Kong may feel a little hard done by in their opener, but on Friday, they could have their hands full against a determined Iranian side eager to book a spot in the knockout stage as quickly as possible. Iran seem to have found their scoring touch in 2024, netting 11 times in just three matches, and we expect them to bury the many chances they are likely to have against a passive Hong Kong side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Iran had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Hong KongDrawIran
36.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.29% (0.073 0.07) 36.08% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.282 -0.28)55.53% (0.283 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.23 -0.23)76.7% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.149 -0.15)29.13% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.183 -0.18)65.06% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.169 -0.17)29.46% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.208 -0.21)65.46% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 36.62%
    Iran 36.07%
    Draw 27.29%
Hong KongDrawIran
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.62%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Hong Kong vs Iran

Hong Kong
21.4%
Draw
4.8%
Iran
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 2.30pm
Second Round
Iran
4-0
Hong Kong
Azmoun (12', 15'), Taremi (87'), Rezaeian (90+2')
Khalilzadeh (82')

Nam Yue (17'), Hin Ting (38')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2021 3.30pm
Second Round
Iran
3-1
Hong Kong
Gholizadeh (23'), Amiri (61'), Ansarifard (84')
Torabi (90+1')
Kwang Cheng (85')
rhs 2.0
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