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Asian Cup
Qatar national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2024 at 3pm UK
Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium
China national football team

Qatar
1 - 0
China

Al Heidos (66')
Al-Rawi (70'), Muneer (80'), Alganehi (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between Qatar and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Qatar
Wednesday, January 17 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

China

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Lebanon 0-0 China
Wednesday, January 17 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Qatar 1-0 China

 Marquez seems to have re-instilled the confidence lost within this group after their disastrous 2022 World Cup campaign. Even if we see numerous changes to the Qatar lineup as we anticipate, this is a side incredibly compact when off the ball, while China look frustrated and lost in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for China had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qatar in this match.

Result
QatarDrawChina
50.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.05% (0.0020000000000024 0) 24.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.1% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.35% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.44%
Score Analysis
    Qatar 50.39%
    China 24.55%
    Draw 25.05%
QatarDrawChina
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.39%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Qatar vs China

Qatar
70.7%
Draw
17.2%
China
12.1%
58
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Qatar
1-0
China
Ali (25')
Salman (30'), Khoukhi (84')

Linpeng (45')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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