We said: Austria Vienna 1-1 Lech Poznan
Neither outfit have had great joy in front of goal of late, and the reverse fixture was the only time Austria Vienna have scored in the group, but they still lost heavily.
Lech will likely settle for a point here and hope Villarreal do them a favour against Hapoel Be'er Sheva in the other game in Group C.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.