Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Rapid Vienna
38.92% ( 0.76)	25.4% ( -0.07)	35.68% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41% (

0.28)

47.59% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

0.26)

69.79% (

-0.26)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

0.53)

24.12% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

0.75)

58.42% (

-0.74)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0.26)

25.9% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.11% (

-0.35)

60.89% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 38.92%

Rapid Vienna 35.68%

Draw 25.4%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Rapid Vienna
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.92%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.68%