Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
LASK Linz	Draw	Sturm Graz
30.12% ( -0.02)	24.88% ( -0)	45% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-0.01)

46.86% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0)

69.12% (

LASK Linz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

-0.01)

29.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

-0.02)

64.94% (

0.02)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

0.01)

20.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

0.01)

53.58% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

LASK Linz 30.12%

Sturm Graz 45%

Draw 24.87%

LASK Linz	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.12%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.65% Total : 45%