Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon3 - 0Sturm Graz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Rheindorf Altach
Sunday, December 10 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, December 10 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Sturm Graz
As Sporting are unlikely to field the strongest team at Amorim's disposal, an array of changes could provide an opportunity for the visitors. With Sturm motivated to get a result to extend their European season, they could exploit a potentially much-changed Sporting side who may have one eye on their upcoming clash with Porto instead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Sturm Graz |
70.62% ( -0.18) | 16.61% ( 0.08) | 12.76% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
