Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Austria Lustenau
65.54% ( -0.13)	19.47% ( 0.03)	14.99% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.26% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.37% (

0.08)

40.63% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.99% (

0.08)

63.01% (

-0.08)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

-0.01)

11.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.4% (

-0.02)

36.6% (

0.03)

Austria Lustenau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

0.18)

39.75% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58% (

0.17)

76.42% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 65.53%

Austria Lustenau 14.99%

Draw 19.47%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Austria Lustenau
2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 65.53%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.47%	0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.99%