Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Isloch win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitebsk in this match.