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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Le Havre

Marseille
5 - 1
Le Havre

Rongier (25'), Nadir (39'), Maupay (43'), Wahi (66'), Garcia (75')
Nadir (45+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ayew (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 0-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Stade Briochin 1-0 Le Havre
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 2-0 Le Havre

 Marseille and Le Havre have experienced contrasting seasons so far, with the hosts being second while the visitors are second from bottom. Given that Digard's side have earned almost all of their points against teams near the foot of the table, it is difficult to see them winning this weekend, and considering that they have yet to draw a single game this term, it is unlikely they will manage to avoid defeat against De Zerbi's men either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLe Havre
62.14% (0.123 0.12) 21.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 16.58% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (0.023 0.02)68.01% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (0.045999999999992 0.05)14.14% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (0.089999999999996 0.09)41.79% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.22% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)40.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.64% (-0.084 -0.08)77.36% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 62.12%
    Le Havre 16.58%
    Draw 21.28%
MarseilleDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-0 @ 11.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.58%

How you voted: Marseille vs Le Havre

Marseille
89.6%
Draw
8.3%
Le Havre
2.1%
48
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Le Havre
1-2
Marseille
Bayo (90+7' pen.)
Sabbi (82')
Aubameyang (64'), Murillo (77')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
3-0
Le Havre
Sangante (18' og.), Aubameyang (21'), Sarr (84')

N'Diaye (12'), Casimir (50')
N'Diaye (40')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG20155054193550
2Marseille20124443251840
3MonacoMonaco20114536241237
4Lille2098333201335
5Nice2097439261334
6Lens209652518733
7Lyon208663226630
8Brest2091103136-528
9StrasbourgStrasbourg207673332127
10Toulouse207582122-126
11Auxerre206592733-623
12Angers206592229-723
13Reims205782629-322
14NantesNantes204972430-621
15Rennes2062122730-320
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2053121943-2418
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier2043132046-2615
18Le HavreLe Havre2042141539-2414
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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