We said: Racing de Santander 1-2 Celta Vigo
This is a fascinating match, as Racing have had a strong campaign in the Segunda Division, and there is no question that the hosts have the tools to harm Celta on Sunday. That said, the Sky Blues will be able to call upon the greater quality, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way into the round of 16 this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.