Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 0Lazio
Pellegrini (10'), Saelemaekers (18')
Saelemaekers (37'), Dybala (71'), Paredes (78'), N'Dicka (90+5')
Saelemaekers (37'), Dybala (71'), Paredes (78'), N'Dicka (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
We said: Roma 1-2 Lazio
Roma may have steadied the ship, but Lazio are a class above their city rivals this season and can score more than once past a vulnerable defence. Blessed with attacking options, the Biancocelesti should secure a win that takes them even further ahead in the standings, starting 2025 in style. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Lazio |
47.51% ( -0.03) | 25.62% ( -0.01) | 26.87% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
