Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 at 11.30am UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza1 - 2Cagliari
We said: Monza 0-1 Cagliari
Cagliari always find it tough to take points back home from the mainland, but they will rarely have a better opportunity to do so. As Monza are low on confidence and must do without key players, it may take more time for their new coach to make an impact. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
40.74% ( -0.01) | 26.83% ( -0.03) | 32.43% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.15) | 54.18% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( 0.13) | 75.59% ( -0.12) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.07) | 26.15% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.78% ( 0.09) | 61.22% ( -0.08) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 0.11) | 31.15% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.52% ( 0.13) | 67.48% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Monza 40.74%
Cagliari 32.43%
Draw 26.83%
| Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.43% |
How you voted: Monza vs Cagliari
Monza
39.3%Draw
28.1%Cagliari
32.6%89
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2pm
Nov 26, 2023 11.30am
