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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Genoa logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Genoa

FT

Kasa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-0 Lecce
Monday, December 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-0 Genoa

Neither side are renowned for their goalscoring prowess, so it could be a low-scoring - or even no-scoring - contest at Stadio Via del Mare. While Genoa have a good record on the road, Lecce are much tougher to beat on home turf and can hold out for a valuable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
38.06% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 27.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 34.68% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.99% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (0.076000000000001 0.08)55.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (0.062000000000001 0.06)76.66% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (0.090000000000003 0.09)30.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.107 0.11)66.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 38.05%
    Genoa 34.68%
    Draw 27.26%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
36.4%
Draw
37.5%
Genoa
26.1%
88
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Retegui (70'), Ekuban (76')
Gilardino (71')
Krstovic (31')
Krstovic (57'), Ramadani (90+5')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lecce
1-0
Genoa
Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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