Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Genoa |
38.06% ( -0.06) | 27.26% ( -0.01) | 34.68% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.52% ( 0.08) | 55.48% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% ( 0.06) | 76.66% ( -0.06) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% | 28.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( -0) | 63.97% ( 0) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( 0.09) | 30.31% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( 0.11) | 66.5% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |