Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Neman had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Neman win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.