Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
1.98) 
-0.62) 
